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HOME > Information > Carbon Neutrality Scenarios
Net-Zero Scenarios represent the future of our society and the outlook of transition by sector when carbon neutrality is achieved in 2050. These scenarios can serve as a compass to establish the directions of detailed policies, transition speeds, etc.
According to the “Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5℃” published in 2018, the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) determined that the average temperature of the earth was approximately 1℃ higher in 2017 compared to pre-industrial levels. Moreover, the IPCC has predicted that global temperatures are likely to rise to 1.5℃ above pre-industrial levels between 2030 and 2052.
In contrast,the IPCC AR6 WG1 report published in 2021, stated that the aforementioned 1.5℃ global temperature increase is expected to occur between 2021 and 2050, which is 10 years earlier than the previous forecast. Therefore, further preemptive responses from the international community are urgently needed.
10 Sub-commisisons and 72 experts (mainly consisting of personnel from government-run research institutes) participated in predicting the potential GHG emissions.
The 2050 Carbon Neutrality Commission is composed of experts from different sectors, specializing in areas related to the climate, energy, industry, labor, economy, conflict management, education, and communications, as well as the civil society, youth, workers, farmers, and local governments.
Reviewed the draft net-zero Scenarios, prepared by the Technical Working Group.
Held meetings and collected opinions from citizens and various sectors for two months.
Selected 500 random people consisting of men and women aged 15 and over to organize the Citizens’ Coucil on Carbon Neutrality and collected opinions through Council meetings.
Deliberated and determined at a cabinet meeting.
| Type | Sector | 2018 | Final | Remarks | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scenario A | Scenario B | ||||
| Emission Amount | 686.3 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Emissions | Energy Transformation | 269.6 | 0 | 20.7 |
|
| Industries | 260.5 | 51.1 | 51.1 | ||
| Buildings | 52.1 | 6.2 | 6.2 | ||
| Transportation | 98.1 | 2.8 | 9.2 |
|
|
| Agriculture, Livestock, and Fisheries | 24.7 | 15.4 | 15.4 | ||
| Waste | 17.1 | 4.4 | 4.4 | ||
| Hydrogen | - | 0 | 9 |
|
|
| Omissions | 5.6 | 0.5 | 1.3 | ||
| Absorption and Removal | Carbon Sinks | -41.3 | -25.3 | -25.3 | |
| Carbon Capture, Use, and Storage (CCUS) | - | -55.1 | -84.6 | ||
| Direct Air Capture (DAC) | - | - | -7.4 |
|
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